Wednesday, March 21, 2007

High-rise

Prajay Engineers Syndicate Ltd. is a construction company based out of Hyderabad, India. The financials of the company are enclosed -
LY profit = 22.8 crs
Share capital = 16.78 crs
Loans on book = 74 crs
Net CA = 107.1 crs
FV = 10 rupees per share
Dividend = 2 rupees per share
CMP = 215 rupees per share (Mar-20)

Hence, initial analysis of stock >
Div yield = 0.93%
NCAV = 19.74 rupees per share
EPS = Rs 13.59 per share
P/E (on LY) = 15.82

The numbers didnt look that impressive until I check some other important parameters -
1. Expected profits of the company based on last 4 qtrs is 52 crs. This would propel the EPS to over 30 rupees and the P/E comes down to 6.94.
2. While profits are expected to grow by 160%, the sales too are growing by over 60%.
3. The debt recapitalisation ratio (as a %age of m-cap) is a huge 54% which is good margin of safety for the risk-averse value investor.

The recent budget has not shown any negative sides to the construction industry (although infrastructure project companies do get some stick) for companies like Prajay. However, the capping of cement prices will mean an increase in the raw material cost for Prajay as it will passed down to construction companies.

Prajay looks like a good bet to hold for the next 3-4 years, as India rides on the infrastructure and extended housing phase. At a low P/E & growing profit performance, Prajay is a good buy.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi shankar,

I guess you too would have got the icicidirect report in which they have analyzed the 11 scripts where they see tremendous and safe upside in the 1 year time frame.I am listing them here can you please throw light on some of your picks from these or other picks which you think are safe and have a substantial upside.


Company name
CMP* (Rs)
Target Price (Rs)
Potential upside
Time Frame (Months)

Adhunik Metaliks
35
52.5
50%
9 - 12

Balaji Telefilms
115
182
58%
9 - 12

Infosys Tech
2050
2843
39%
9 - 12

iGate Global
376
610
62%
12 - 18

JK Cement
128
293
128%
9 -12

PTC India
58
95
64%
9 -12

Sangam India
73
120
65%
9 - 12

Reliance Capital
620
760
23%
9 - 12

Union Bank
98
119
21%
9 - 12

Ultratech Cement
790
995
25%
9 - 12

Yes Bank
125
170
36%
12 - 15

*as on 21st March, 2007
Regards,
Saurabh