Friday, March 17, 2006

What a tip !!!

A friend called up this evening to discuss a tip he received from his broker - Buy Ramco Systems. The reason being - the stock is at it's 52-wk low of 193 rupees and it's 52-wk high was a huge 519 rupees. He said, the stock had mighty upside as buying levels will increase. I checked out the numbers and was absolutely taken aback with the financials. Enjoy this !!!

a) The company has been in the red for six out of the last eight quarters
b) The P&L account of the company shown a loss for the last 4 financial years
c) Personnel expenses account for 40% of the total sales of the company
d) No dividend for the last 5 financial years (obviously)

But that's not the shocking part ....

Check the prices over these last eight quarters. I have taken the highest price within one month of the close of quarter (these are the times when the financial statements come out)



Mar-04: Profit of 4.21 crs; Price was 265 rupees
Jun-04: Loss of 9.29 crs; Price was 250 rupees
Sep-04: Profit of 2.32 crs; Price was 290 rupees (the price increased while profits dipped)
Dec-04: Loss of 3.36 crs; Price was 440 rupees (the price increased while profits dipped)
Mar-05: Loss of 30.04 crs; Price was 425 rupees
Jun-05: Loss of 6.03 crs; Price was 405 rupees
Sep-05: Loss of 7.11 crs; Price was 450 rupees (the price increased while profits dipped)
Dec-05: Loss of 3.68 crs; Price was 330 rupees

From 13-Sep-2005, when the stock reached a high of 546.70 rupees ... it has been steadily declined and it today (22-Mar-2006) at 194.25 rupees. A decline in value of 64.46% in a little over 6 months. Amazing tip, aint it?

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