Wednesday, April 26, 2006

National Organic Chemical Industries Limited

or NOCIL for short. NOCIL is a turnaround story ... refered to BIFR in Jan-2004, it came out of bankruptcy with a positive net worth on 31st March 2005. The company had a fantastic 3rd quarter with an impressive 23 crs of profits on a capital base of 160.79 crs. Over the last 9 months, the company has notched up 59.50 crs of profits and should close at around 80 crs for the yr. The fwdPE of the stock would be a comfortable 5.63 - an alice in wonderland situation !!!

And although the company doesn't provide for any dividend, I take comfort over the fact that NOCIL has an NCAV of 4.07 and a book value of 10.90 (as compared to a CMP of 28.25). The high court has approved of a demerger of the company in two divisions to which the shareholders will benefit as the rubber division will take advantage of an independent management.

Peers of NOCIL would be other petrochemical companies like Castrol, Manali Petro, Narama Chematur, Hind Flourocarbons, Sah Petroleum, SA Petrochem, Lanxess ABS, Chemplast Sanma, Jubilant Org, DCW, IPCL and Finolex ... (barring Sah whose profits are almost non-consequential, NOCIL and Narmada Chematur exhibit the best improvements in qtrly earnings ... Narmada Chematur has also been recommended for a buy in a previous blog).

I would place a BUY on NOCIL with a stop loss on 24 rupees.

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