Friday, April 18, 2008

Vardhman Holdings

Vardhman Holdings has a market cap is Rs. 61.92 crores (Apr-18) and yet has ...
1. Investments worth about Rs. 72.93 crores
2. Current assets of Rs. 22.54 crores
3. Zero debt in it's books.

As I couldn't locate the annual report for FY07, I'm using the FY06 report and some published data (here). Investments in FY06 and FY07, remain constant at Rs 72.93 crores. A bulk of this investment is in Mahavir Spinning (name changed to Vardhman Textiles) amounting to 15,402,598 shares. At the current price of Rs. 119 (Apr 18), Vardhman's Holding in Vardhman textiles amounts to Rs. 183 crores. Traditionally, holding companies are never valued over 60% of the current value of individual companies. At 61 / 183 crores, the market is pegging the discount at 33% .. which is a bit low.

The dividend proposed by Vardhman Textiles last year was 40% (Rs. 4 per share). This amounts to a dividend income of Rs. 6.2 crores for the holding company on the basis of 1.54 crore shares. The company's dividend payout for the last 5 years are 42%, 45%, 45%, 40% and 40%. I dont expect this to change much. The dividend value is a bit above 10% of the holding company's m-cap.

The current assets of the holding company are at 22.54 crores. With zero debt and 96% of the CA in cash/bank deposit ... the reconstructed NCAV calculates to Rs. 70.65 per share (36% of m-cap)

Hence, from an asset valuation :
Shares in Vardhman Textiles = Rs. 183 crores
Net current assets = Rs. 22.5 crores
Total = Rs. 205.5 crores
Current m-cap = Rs. 61 crores

Hence, m-cap to asset value = 29.7%

Or, available discount = 70.3%

There has been some bulk deal activity at the Rs 150-160 range in the stock. Else, mutual funds are pretty much inactive with this counter. Ravi Purohit wrote a blog around this (and other holding companies) sometime back (here).

4 comments:

Nitin Jain said...

i think u shud have a look at Network 18 holding or JSW holding..these co.s too are avialbale at 50-60% discount, these co.s are in better businesses, better visibility, great management...

i think since holding co.s cannt sell wat thy hold the discount factor is high

Shankar Nath said...

Hi Nitin,

I browsed through Network 18 Media and Invt annual report. (I was surprised that not too many research houses were tracking this stock .. the last being Sharekhan in Oct 2007).

The top draws in the investments schedule (Mar 31, 2007) are :
a) 27,814,553 shares in Television Eighteen India Ltd
b) 20,000,000 Units in SBI Mutual Fund
c) 10,411,028 shares in Global Broadcast News Ltd
d) 2,500,000 8% cumulative redeemable Non Convertible Preference Shares in BK Media Pvt Ltd

Now a), b) and c) are quoted investments.
a) TV18 Ltd ................ CMP : 345 rupees
c) Global Broadcast .... CMP : 124 rupees

Hence,
a) 345 * 27,814,553 = 959 crores
b) 20 crores
c) 124 * 10,411,028 = 129 crores
d) Difficult to tell

These investments match the current m-cap of Network 18 Media & Invts. Ofcourse, through FY2008 the company must have made more acquisitions and investments. (possibly they would have taken debt too for financing these deals).

At 215 rupees, a number of ppl are saying it's a steal. I am having trouble understanding these parts of the company. Nitin - do you have a report which I can use?

Warm Regards
Shankar

Nitin Jain said...

Shankar request you to check your source and date of holding shares...remeber GBN and TV 18 are ex split and ex bonus, so if you multiply CMP with 6 months old no. of shares hold u will get a dicy picture...

besides u need to consider and give some value to inherent business of movie distribution and audio...lst yr movies like Jab we met etc were distributed by NW18..thy are also event managing arm of the grp

Besides pls chk if NW 18 holds nething in Viacom, Yatra, Indian Film Company ( listed on London AIM), Home shop...

I feel due to current erosion in Price of TV18 and GBN the mkt cap is looking tweaked !!

Shankar Nath said...

Hi Nitin,

GBN has had a 5:1 split. Likewise, TV18 has had a 1:1 bonus. Assuming the proportion of shares remain the same for FY2008 .. GBN and TV18, would be over 2,500 crores (I am also factoring the allotment of 27,00,000 equity shares by TV18 to NW18).

Warm Regards
Shankar